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A Planet Candidate Orbiting near the Hot Jupiter TOI-2818 b Inferred through Transit Timing

B. J. McKee, B. T. Montet, S. W. Yee, J. D. Hartman, J. N. Winn, J. H. C. Martins, A. M. Silva, A. L. Wallace

Abstract
TOI-2818 b is a hot Jupiter orbiting a slightly evolved G-type star on a 4.04 day orbit that shows transit timing variations (TTVs) suggestive of a decreasing orbital period. In the most recent year of TESS observations, transits were observed ∼8 minutes earlier than expected for a constant period. The implied orbital decay rate is 1.35 ± 0.25 s yr−1, too fast to be explained by tidal dissipation, even considering the evolved nature of the host star. Radial velocity (RV) monitoring and astrometric data make the possibility of perturbations from a long-period companion unlikely; further Doppler spectroscopy observations can efficiently confirm or rule out such a companion. Apsidal precession due to the tidal distortion of the planet is also physically implausible. The most plausible explanation for the TTVs appears to be gravitational perturbations from a hitherto undetected planet with mass ≲10 M that is in (or near) a mean-motion resonance with the hot Jupiter. Such a planet could be responsible for the observed TTVs while avoiding detection with the available RV and transit data.

Keywords
Exoplanet tides; Exoplanets; Hot Jupiters; Radial velocity; Transit photometry; Transit timing variation method

The Astrophysical Journal
Volume 981, Number 2, Page 8
2025 March

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Faculdade de Ciências da Universidade de Lisboa Universidade do Porto Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia da Universidade de Coimbra
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia COMPETE 2020 PORTUGAL 2020 União Europeia